ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF US’ NON-TARIFF MEASURES ON VIETNAM’S AGRICULTURE AND FISHERIES EXPORT: A GRAVITY MODEL ANALYSIS

Abstract

This article analyzes Vietnam’s agriculture and fisheries export flow under the influence of US’s non-tariff measures by using gravity model estimated by poisson psuedo maximum likehood estimation. The research covers 4 major 4 digits agricultural and fisheries HS codes namely HS03 HS07 HS08 and HS09 during the ten-year period of 2009 and 2019. A significant negative effect can be observed through the estimation result of technical barriers and counter veiling measures but fail to show through the results related to sanitary and phytosanitary measures as well as quantitative restriction measures. A set of recommendations are also drafted based on the result with the aim of further enhance Vietnam’s export ability